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MRCFIRM
Case 15·Renewable Energy / Manufacturing·Baghdad, Iraq

Feasibility Study and Financial Modeling for a Solar Manufacturing Joint Venture

Lead Consultant
Almontather Rassoul, PhD
Engagement Value
USD 58,000 including tariff regulatory advisory and JV governance structure
Team Led
4: Rassoul + 1 financial modeler + 1 technical specialist + 1 legal coordinator
Duration
12 weeks
Client Continuity
Yes — client contracted MRC for NIC registration advisory following feasibility approval

Situation

An Iraqi industrial group was evaluating a joint venture with a Chinese manufacturing partner to produce solar panel mounting structures for the domestic market under a Ministry of Electricity procurement framework. A bankable feasibility study was required for two financiers with different accounting standards: a state development bank requiring Iraqi accounting standards and a Gulf private investor requiring IFRS projections.

Complication

No domestic precedent for solar component manufacturing existed in Iraq, making market demand assumptions dependent on Ministry procurement forecasts that were aspirational rather than contracted. Two applicable tariff schedule interpretations for aluminium alloy raw materials produced an 18% cost-of-goods difference. When I reviewed the Chinese partner's technology transfer terms, I found that the clause as written transferred manufacturing know-how but not the tooling specifications — meaning that if the JV relationship dissolved, the Iraqi entity would have knowledge but not the ability to operate independently.

The Critical Decision — What Almontather Rassoul Saw and Did Differently

I made the decision to obtain a formal written ruling from the General Commission of Customs on the tariff interpretation rather than adopting either interpretation on analytical grounds alone. That added two weeks to the timeline and required a formal application process. The formal ruling eliminated ambiguity and, unexpectedly, produced a third interpretation more favorable than either of the two originally identified.

Methodology — Why This Approach and Not Another

I built two separate financial model architectures rather than adjusting a single model for the two accounting frameworks, because the differences between Iraqi accounting standards and IFRS in this context were not limited to presentation — they affected the timing of revenue recognition and the treatment of the JV's initial capital contributions in ways that required different structural logic.

Resolution — Delivered by Almontather Rassoul / MRC Firm Ltd.

A comprehensive feasibility study covering technical specifications, Ministry-based market demand analysis, financial projections under both accounting frameworks, a 22-scenario risk matrix, and a JV governance structure with an amended technology transfer clause that addressed the tooling specification gap. The customs ruling resolved the tariff ambiguity more favorably than either original interpretation. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated viability from 60% to 100% of installed capacity. Both financiers accepted the feasibility study as submitted.

What Was Not Fully Resolved — and Why

The amended technology transfer clause was accepted in principle by the Chinese partner but had not been formally incorporated into the JV agreement at time of document production. The feasibility study was approved by both financiers subject to the clause amendment being confirmed prior to capital deployment.

Rassoul identified a gap in the technology transfer clause that we had not seen and that neither of our financiers had flagged. He also obtained a customs ruling that saved us significant cost on raw material assumptions. Both findings were beyond the original scope and both were material.

Board Chairman, Iraqi Industrial Group

Consultant: Almontather Rassoul, PhD · MRC Firm Ltd. · montather-rassoul.com · linkedin.com/in/montatherrassoul